{"id":22796,"date":"2024-07-23T14:54:22","date_gmt":"2024-07-23T14:54:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/?p=22796"},"modified":"2024-07-23T14:54:22","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T14:54:22","slug":"venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/","title":{"rendered":"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>July 22, 2024<\/p>\n<p>Credible polling results for the July 28 presidential elections give a strong lead to the opposition candidate, Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez.<\/p>\n<p>However, we see unchanged disincentives for a political transition given the potential prosecution of members of the ruling coalition and the loss of access to corruption opportunities.<\/p>\n<p>In our view, these disincentives extend to the military and other security forces, and we don\u2019t expect a break in the ruling coalition.<\/p>\n<p>We expect Maduro to remain in power through fraudulent means and employ whatever level of violence necessary to suppress opposition protests in the aftermath.<\/p>\n<p>HOLD: Our baseline scenario remains one of no restructuring, as the Maduro government lacks incentives to restructure, even assuming the US was to recognize him and lift financial sanctions.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.emfi.uk\/english\/intelligence\/details\/is-there-an-end-in-sight-to-the-7-year-default-1938?id=1939\">READ MORE<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>July 22, 2024 Credible polling results for the July 28 presidential elections give a strong lead to the opposition candidate, Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez. However, we see unchanged disincentives for a political transition given the potential prosecution of members of the ruling coalition and the loss of access to corruption opportunities. In our view, these disincentives extend to the military and other &#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":22793,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"rs_blank_template":"","rs_page_bg_color":"","slide_template_v7":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[873,330,96],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles-publications-ru","category-articles-ru","category-uncategorized-ru"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight? - Diaz Reus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ru_RU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight? - Diaz Reus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"July 22, 2024 Credible polling results for the July 28 presidential elections give a strong lead to the opposition candidate, Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez. However, we see unchanged disincentives for a political transition given the potential prosecution of members of the ruling coalition and the loss of access to corruption opportunities. In our view, these disincentives extend to the military and other ... Read More\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Diaz Reus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-23T14:54:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/emfi.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"960\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"mbattier@diazreus.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u041d\u0430\u043f\u0438\u0441\u0430\u043d\u043e \u0430\u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043c\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"mbattier@diazreus.com\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0447\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0443\u0442\u0430\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"mbattier@diazreus.com\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ac819f404d59c9664cc3132d90054303\"},\"headline\":\"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight?\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-23T14:54:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":138,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/07\\\/emfi.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Articles &amp; Publications\",\"Articles\",\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/\",\"name\":\"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight? - Diaz Reus\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/07\\\/emfi.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-23T14:54:22+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ac819f404d59c9664cc3132d90054303\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/07\\\/emfi.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/07\\\/emfi.jpg\",\"width\":960,\"height\":640},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/home-russian\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/\",\"name\":\"Diaz Reus\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ac819f404d59c9664cc3132d90054303\",\"name\":\"mbattier@diazreus.com\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/diazreus.com\\\/ru\\\/author\\\/mbattierdiazreus-com\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight? - Diaz Reus","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/","og_locale":"ru_RU","og_type":"article","og_title":"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight? - Diaz Reus","og_description":"July 22, 2024 Credible polling results for the July 28 presidential elections give a strong lead to the opposition candidate, Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez. However, we see unchanged disincentives for a political transition given the potential prosecution of members of the ruling coalition and the loss of access to corruption opportunities. In our view, these disincentives extend to the military and other ... Read More","og_url":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/","og_site_name":"Diaz Reus","article_published_time":"2024-07-23T14:54:22+00:00","og_image":[{"width":960,"height":640,"url":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/emfi.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"mbattier@diazreus.com","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u041d\u0430\u043f\u0438\u0441\u0430\u043d\u043e \u0430\u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043c":"mbattier@diazreus.com","\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0447\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f":"1 \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0443\u0442\u0430"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/"},"author":{"name":"mbattier@diazreus.com","@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/#\/schema\/person\/ac819f404d59c9664cc3132d90054303"},"headline":"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight?","datePublished":"2024-07-23T14:54:22+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/"},"wordCount":138,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/emfi.jpg","articleSection":["Articles &amp; Publications","Articles","Uncategorized"],"inLanguage":"ru-RU"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/","url":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/","name":"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight? - Diaz Reus","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/emfi.jpg","datePublished":"2024-07-23T14:54:22+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/#\/schema\/person\/ac819f404d59c9664cc3132d90054303"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"ru-RU","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"ru-RU","@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/emfi.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/emfi.jpg","width":960,"height":640},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/venezuela-strategy-viewpoint-is-the-end-to-the-7-year-default-in-sight\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/home-russian\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Venezuela: Strategy Viewpoint: Is the End to the 7-year Default in Sight?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/#website","url":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/","name":"Diaz Reus","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"ru-RU"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/#\/schema\/person\/ac819f404d59c9664cc3132d90054303","name":"mbattier@diazreus.com","url":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/author\/mbattierdiazreus-com\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22796"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22796\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22797,"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22796\/revisions\/22797"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diazreus.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}